{"aa":{"id":"R_1PaSQq0ugnSqSJs","gender":"Male","age":"34","affiliation":"Democrat","domain":"aa","high_signal":"1","estimate_1":"35","estimate_2":"35","question":"What fraction of African Americans graduating from college did so with a GPA of 3.5 or higher?","message":"Black students who graduated from a 4-year program have probably overcome a lot of adversity to accomplish their goal. To me, that indicates that they demonstrated a lot of drive and determination to reach that goal. People who demonstrate drive and determination are more likely to take their studies seriously and put in the required effort to do well. Therefore, I strongly suspect that black students who have graduated from a 4-year program were willing to work hard and do the best they possibly could. I also believe that black students in this situation may feel that they have more to 'prove.' In other words, they may feel that society expects less from them and that could make them more determined to succeed and prove that they can accomplish what they set out to do. For those reasons, I believe the majority of black students in college work hard and therefore are likely to graduate with a higher-than-average GPA."},"immigration":{"id":"R_22SmXSxX4v8HKh4","gender":"Female","age":"27","affiliation":"Republican","domain":"immigration","high_signal":"0","estimate_1":"40","estimate_2":"9","question":"What fraction of undocumented immigrants deported from the United States in 2015 were convicted of a crime unrelated to immigration?","message":"It is important to realize that a majority of undocumented immigrants in America are honest hardworking individuals that are merely trying to make a better living for themselves and their family by being in this country. These people are trying to escape from impoverishment and destitution in their home country; it is in their best interests to abide by our laws and follow our cultural norms so that they are better able to blend in and make a living here and won\u2019t get caught and deported. This means that a majority of undocumented immigrants in the U.S. are actually law abiding citizens and only a small fraction commit crimes or disobey our laws. It is true that there are some undocumented immigrants that abuse their lack of documentation in order to commit crimes and lead lawless lives, but these individuals are in the minority.  Most undocumented immigrants recognize that being in America is a pathway to success, and they try their hardest to adopt American values and integrate into our society so that they are able to provide for the families they have here, or make enough money to be able to send financial assistance back to the families they left behind in their home country."},"army":{"id":"R_3HHSZo2Us7Levj5","gender":"Male","age":"35","affiliation":"Republican","domain":"army","high_signal":"1","estimate_1":"60","estimate_2":"70","question":"What fraction of active duty military in the United States are serving in the Army?","message":"The Army is the largest branch of the military. If you think about it, it doesn\u2019t take that many people to operate a plane or a ship \u2013 but it takes a lot of people in tanks, Humvees or just boots on the ground. But the army doesn\u2019t only need frontline soldiers: they also have their own intelligence service and a lot of other support staff, like cooks, medics, and computer specialists. Then, they have a lot of bases all over the US and also around the world. That\u2019s a lot of people to keep everything running smoothly. Sure, the army is only one of five branches of the military \u2013 but the others include the Coast Guard, which is really tiny and the Marines \u2013 also tiny. Ultimately, most of the work still gets done by the army and so they have a ton of people."},"insurance":{"id":"R_AMuOWObfIJuYwNP","gender":"Female","age":"27","affiliation":"Democrat","domain":"insurance","high_signal":"0","estimate_1":"30","estimate_2":"23","question":"What fraction of adult women in the United States have a life insurance policy?","message":"Most people don\u2019t like thinking about either their finances or their death. So I doubt a lot of people have life insurance to begin with. On top of that, the purpose of life insurance is to replace an income that other family members depend on. But it\u2019s rare for women to be the only earners in the household. In fact, many of them stay at home to look after children or only work part-time. They may also have a second person\u2019s income to fall back on. So for them, it just makes less financial sense to buy life insurance. There\u2019s also surveys finding that women are less confident in financial investments, which is what life insurance ultimately is. So I suspect women are also less likely than men to have a life insurance policy. I just don\u2019t think it\u2019s going to be all that many."}}