{"aa":{"id":"R_3FJrGn7rIFdXV43","gender":"Female","age":"54","affiliation":"Republican","domain":"aa","high_signal":"1","estimate_1":"71","estimate_2":"80","question":"What fraction of African Americans graduating from college did so with a GPA of 3.5 or higher?","message":"Black students who graduated from a 4-year program have probably overcome a lot of adversity to accomplish their goal. To me, that indicates that they demonstrated a lot of drive and determination to reach that goal. People who demonstrate drive and determination are more likely to take their studies seriously and put in the required effort to do well. Therefore, I strongly suspect that black students who have graduated from a 4-year program were willing to work hard and do the best they possibly could. I also believe that black students in this situation may feel that they have more to 'prove.' In other words, they may feel that society expects less from them and that could make them more determined to succeed and prove that they can accomplish what they set out to do. For those reasons, I believe the majority of black students in college work hard and therefore are likely to graduate with a higher-than-average GPA."},"immigration":{"id":"R_OvygAxytJP4F4Bj","gender":"Female","age":"42","affiliation":"Democrat","domain":"immigration","high_signal":"1","estimate_1":"6","estimate_2":"6","question":"What fraction of undocumented immigrants deported from the United States in 2015 were convicted of a crime unrelated to immigration?","message":"I understand that you may think that not many of the people deported are criminals, but I really think the true number is pretty high.  First note that the question is asking about the Obama years; Obama did not have the same anti-immigration position that Trump has.  During the Obama administration the big focus was not on getting immigrants out of the country, but minimizing them as a problem, which meant deporting those who were involved in crime, and especially those part of gangs.  So, fewer were probably arrested, but more of those arrested were almost certainly arrested for crimes other than just being in the country illegally.  I just moved from Arizona to South Carolina and Illegal immigrants were a major cause of crime where I came from.  I moved to Tucson when I was 2 years old and it was a beautiful city to live in. Times changed however, and when I came back from college it was a different place. Crime rates were sky high and a lot of the crime was caused by guns, drugs and weapons being brought over the border by illegal immigrants.  I know there are a lot of honest hardworking illegal immigrants in the country; please don't think I don't know this, but just from experience it is not out of the realm of possibility that a surprisingly high fraction of illegals are criminals."},"army":{"id":"R_3PoBo4xq2Aci6Qd","gender":"Female","age":"25","affiliation":"Democrat","domain":"army","high_signal":"1","estimate_1":"40","estimate_2":"38","question":"What fraction of active duty military in the United States are serving in the Army?","message":"The Army is the largest branch of the military. If you think about it, it doesn\u2019t take that many people to operate a plane or a ship \u2013 but it takes a lot of people in tanks, Humvees or just boots on the ground. But the army doesn\u2019t only need frontline soldiers: they also have their own intelligence service and a lot of other support staff, like cooks, medics, and computer specialists. Then, they have a lot of bases all over the US and also around the world. That\u2019s a lot of people to keep everything running smoothly. Sure, the army is only one of five branches of the military \u2013 but the others include the Coast Guard, which is really tiny and the Marines \u2013 also tiny. Ultimately, most of the work still gets done by the army and so they have a ton of people."},"insurance":{"id":"R_30hLg4E4FSmuGXI","gender":"Female","age":"46","affiliation":"Republican","domain":"insurance","high_signal":"1","estimate_1":"11","estimate_2":"11","question":"What fraction of adult women in the United States have a life insurance policy?","message":"I think most adults in the country have some form of life insurance. It\u2019s a big risk if you don\u2019t have any coverage and have a family. What if something happened and they didn\u2019t have any money to help them? In fact, many employers offer highly discounted policies, so, for almost anyone who is working, it\u2019s actually not that expensive to get at least some coverage. Women are often caring for the family and so I think they might be especially conscious to take precautions and make sure their children will have something in case they are no longer around. On top of that, women often take fewer risks than men, so they\u2019re probably more likely to buy all kinds of insurance.  I believe that women are more likely to have higher levels of automobile insurance (in part because the rates they pay are lower), and health insurance; it would make sense that they have higher rates of life insurance as well."}}